Weekly Climate Summary 10/11/2021

This week in Texas weather saw extremely dry conditions across the entire state. Central Texas, The Panhandle, The Big Bend Region, and along the Red River saw little to no precipitation with these areas recording a maximum of 0.01” of rain. The Piney Woods Region, Gulf Coast, the southern tip of the South Plains, and around the Edwards Plateau saw increased precipitation between 0.05-1.3”. Edwards County, Coleman County, Brazoria County, and Brown County recorded even higher precipitation at 1.3-1.6”, however, Harris County saw the most precipitation during this period at over 2.2”.

Temperatures across Texas during this week were above the long-term mean. South of Austin and Travis County, along the southern Gulf Coast and East South Plains, saw temperature slightly warmer than the normal with a 0-2 degree Fahrenheit positive temperature departure. More North in the Piney Woods Region and Lakes and Prairies Region, as well as to the west in the Hill Country, saw temperature departure slightly higher at a 2-4 degree positive departure. Even more northwest saw the Big Bend Region and Panhandle with temperatures 4-6 degrees Fahrenheit above the normal. Furthermore, in these regions, certain counties, especially along the Oklahoma border in the Panhandle, experienced temperature departures 6-8 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than the normal. Outside of most of the state seeing warmer than normal temperatures, the southeastern tip of the state in the South Plains saw temperature departure 0-2 degrees Fahrenheit cooler than the normal. Bexar County, Hood County, and Parker County also experienced a negative temperature at 0-2 degrees Fahrenheit as well.

Looking forward, the Climate Prediction Center issued its 6-10 day outlook projecting that the majority of Texas has between a 33-60% probability of cooler than normal temperatures. Central Texas has the highest probability at 50-60% with the probability diminishing out. Furthermore, the entirety of Texas is projected to have below-normal precipitation at a 33% probability for most of the state. North Texas, in the Panhandle and along the Red River, has a slightly higher probability of below-normal precipitation at 40-60%.